Default risk
Best CVA practices in Japan
At a recent roundtable in Tokyo, banks and regulators discussed progress on credit valuation adjustment (CVA). While, in many respects, the work towards implementing best practices in the country is on track, challenges remain in resourcing and…
Defaults would dent, but not destroy, CCP liquidity buffers
Max payment obligations in event of member default would be sufficiently covered
Borrower default estimates continue to improve at EU banks in Q2
Greek corporate creditworthiness improves the most of 39-country sample quarter-on-quarter
LCH SA on the hook for €32bn if member defaults
Payment obligation, if realised, would wipe out 50% of CCP’s liquidity buffer
Eurex Clearing reports sharp rise in default exposures
Clearing house’s peak same-day payment obligation rose to €5 billion in the second quarter
OCC reports 24% spike in default exposure
Clearing house’s peak same-day payment obligation rose to $5 billion in the second quarter
Ice, CME shore up clearing house recovery planning
Introduction of VMGH and tear-ups comes amid impasse over CCP recovery and resolution rules
On probability of default and its relation to observed default frequency and a common factor
This paper considers a definition of through-the-cycle as independent from an economic state that can result in a time-varying TTC probability of default.
JSCC member default fund contributions fall to ¥676bn in Q2
Default fund contributions shrink 19%, but members’ initial margin payments climb
Clients demand access to CCP default auctions
“In a default, we are comfortable taking on risk and can move quickly,” says DRW’s Wilson
The great migration: CCPs ponder life after Span
As CME moves to a value-at-risk methodology, CCPs that license its model look on nervously
Sovereign spreads and Target2 anomalies
Widening risk imbalances between eurozone member states threaten monetary union, says Italian regulator
LCH tightens harness on market experts in defaults
CCP sets punctilious rules for loaned traders to be ready for defaults – or to pre-empt them
2022 – A market risk odyssey
Though January’s final version of FRTB offered no great surprises to those who have followed the regulation since its inception, banks now have a greater idea of what is required of them. Bloomberg explores the importance for banks to have FRTB…
EU banks’ credit risk estimates continue to fall
Mean average weighted corporate PD down to 2.24% from 2.61% in Q1 2018
Default cascades and systemic risk on different interbank network topologies
This paper examines the relationship between the topology of interbank networks and their ability to propagate localized, idiosyncratic shocks across the banking sector via banks’ interbank claims on one another.
Podcast: Kaminski on lessons from commodity market defaults
Professor Vince Kaminski analyses Nasdaq and PJM defaults
EU-Singapore trade deal awakens sovereign restructuring fears
Many worry that EU government bonds are now in play for international arbitration
CFTC official: CCPs should war-game default auctions
Risk appetite should be factor in selecting auction participants – Wasserman
Buy-siders eye ways to get ahead of US resolution stay rules
Come July 1, asset managers will be unable to dump derivatives as a G-Sib is unwound. Lawyers are standing by
Default risks in peripheral eurozone inch up
Italian corporate PD estimates up to 9.12%
Ice Clear Europe posts $1.2bn margin breach in Q3
In total, 55 margin breaches reported at end-September 2018
Reducing margin procyclicality at central counterparties
This paper studies the effect of less procyclical margin models on cleared volumes and risk taking in a stylized CCP.
If CLO investors flee, defaults could snowball
High yield borrowers relying on a steady stream of leveraged loan issuance that could quickly run dry