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How US dealers flipped the script in OTC trading

Dealer Rankings 2026: Disclosures from US mutual funds and life insurers – which list all of the OTC derivatives on their books, along with the sell-side counterparty – are one of the few ways to illuminate the hidden pecking order of this lucrative, but opaque, market. In the first three editions of our annual analysis of these filings, five US banks dominated but were becoming more selective. And three big European banks seemed to be taking advantage.

That changes in the latest data, which shows JP Morgan leading the way and the big US dealers expanding across the board. European and other non-US dealers were squeezed. 

The question is whether this heralds a lasting change of strategy, or was a passing opportunity brought about by last year’s waves of volatility in US assets.

Surprise predatory fishes

Basis trade loses its bite as banks move in

Returns on popular hedge fund strategy dwindle to as little as three basis points, while dealers make use of softened capital rules to replicate the trade

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Risk Quantum tracks thousands of data points across hundreds of metrics from organisations that represent a cross-section of the financial system. Published daily, articles are short and broken into chunks – the facts, the context and a brief commentary – and use data visualisations to get each story across.

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