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FX options traders lost in Iran fog
Headline ‘ping-pong’ saps hedge funds’ conviction, though pockets of vol selling have re-emerged
CDS notional tops $8trn as clearing spike hits records
Investment-grade trades drive biggest weekly rise since 2013
In Iran war, VAR models ease cliff effect on Ice and CME margins
At 105%, EEX – using Span model – saw largest single-day jump compared with those CCPs
How Optiver is harnessing prediction markets
Isda AGM: Market-maker doesn’t trade event contracts, but it is using them to price other instruments
Tokenisation could boost repo capacity by up to 60%
Isda AGM: Digital Asset’s Rooz says intraday repo will deliver huge balance sheet efficiencies
Dealers push for more revisions to Basel III endgame
Isda AGM: Goldman, JP Morgan bankers want changes on cross-product netting, CVA and default risk charges
DRW chief slams ‘ridiculous’ OCC stablecoin rule
Isda AGM: Wilson warns week-long redemption freeze would deter use of Genius Act coins as cash leg of tokenised repo
StanChart: UK, EU should copy US ‘commercial’ Basel III
Isda AGM: Exec warns divergent Basel III rules will push trading into less-regulated entities
US G-Sibs ease off TLAC build as buffers plateau
Loss-absorbing buffers edged lower across most major banks at end-2025
Isda AGM 2026
The OTC derivatives industry has gathered in Boston to reflect on what Isda calls a “revolution in financial markets”. Sessions focus on tech – tokenisation, stablecoins, AI and 24/7 trading – and regulation, with speakers from the Bank of England, CFTC, the Fed and SEC. Follow our coverage of the event here.
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Artificial intelligence
Quants like Andrew Ang are making the case for AI agents
AI agents can boost human managers by analysing investments, risks and portfolio choices at scale
BlackRock uses options to rewire AI bets
Counterparty Radar: Global Allocation Fund shifts from net short to net long derivatives as equity allocation falls
The do-it-all machine: model risk in the age of generative AI
Banks race to understand risks posed by new breed of multi-purpose bots
The MIT professor giving LLMs a ‘brain scan’
Hui Chen’s research is yielding new ways to interpret – and steer – AI models
Risk Quantum
Data insights, delivered daily
Risk Quantum tracks thousands of data points across hundreds of metrics from organisations that represent a cross-section of the financial system. Published daily, articles are short and broken into chunks – the facts, the context and a brief commentary – and use data visualisations to get each story across.
CDS notional tops $8trn as clearing spike hits records
Investment-grade trades drive biggest weekly rise since 2013
Risk Benchmarking
Top 10 op risks: AI upends risk taxonomies
AI risk enters annual poll in fifth, but firms split over treating it as a standalone risk or a cross-cutting driver
Basel III Endgame
Can US regulators keep Collins happy with one capital stack?
Legal experts say Basel III endgame redraft retains spirit if not letter of the floor
Isda’s Basel III playbook: speak softly and carry a big QIS
Scott O’Malia on capital reforms, repo markets and tokenised collateral
Can the US FRTB revamp make the IMA great again?
Banks are finally presented with a viable internal models framework under Basel III’s market risk rules
UK rethinking tougher capital rules for US bank subsidiaries
US endgame draft would trigger UK Basel III trap floor for foreign banks, but PRA is reviewing
Top 10 operational risks for 2026
Industry shares intel on biggest collective threats, as well as remedies and loss gauges
Prediction markets
Don’t mention the rules: the fight against prediction market abuse
For the CFTC to regulate new venues effectively, it must first redefine insider trading
CFTC wants to regulate prediction markets. Is it up to the task?
Former officials echo state gambling authorities’ concerns over agency’s ability to police betting risks
Main Street to Wall Street: Kalshi’s bid to go beyond sports bets
Institutional head Andy Ross’s strategy for drawing in investors and charging for ‘wisdom-of-crowds’
Ice’s Sprecher: institutional prediction bets ‘a matter of time’
Longer-term vision for ‘niche’ energy event contracts may be aided by recent Polymarket tie-up
NeoClear enters battle for euro swaps clearing
Paris-based CCP to challenge Eurex and LCH with planned 2027 launch
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