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How to ensure the next Credit Suisse or SVB fails ‘well’
The collapse of four lenders during the banking crisis of 2023 exposed flaws in resolution frameworks, with plans largely ignored – if they even existed.
Regulators are now rethinking resolution regimes in the US and Europe in an attempt to make plans more streamlined and battle-ready.
However, critics question whether resolution planning can ever prepare banks for a shock event. “Living wills were never really usable, and they have never been used,” says a previous FDIC leader.
Hedge funds crowd into bullish Brazilian real trades
Funds snap up FX options betting on stronger real after a Bolsonaro win
Permanent FRTB reforms seen as vital for IMA adoption
Temporary relief granted in June has done little to encourage internal model use in Europe
JSCC’s cash securities division chalks up biggest-ever stress breach
Stress loss in excess of initial margin eclipsed default resources by ¥6.8bn in Q2
At bigger banks, enterprise risk owns scenario frameworks
Risk Benchmarking research finds ERM teams tasked with providing effective challenge on scenario construction across risk silos
Risk Live North America
Read all the coverage from last week’s event, from agentic AI to geopolitics
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Rates
Hedge funds return to JGB flatteners after brutal stop-outs
Funds bet repatriation of assets by Japan’s pension funds will driver further long-end yield compression
Jackpot for JGB asset swaps after hedging rush
Multi-leg trade turned profitable as corporate cross-currency hedging flows helped push yen swap rates above JGB yields
Hedge funds reload UK rates bets after euro-led rout
Traders slowly returning to sterling market after ECB comments caused front-end and curve stop-outs
Hedge funds sit out Treasury market volatility
Flattening of yield curve prompts traders to scale back steepeners
Risk Quantum
Data insights, delivered daily
Risk Quantum tracks thousands of data points across hundreds of metrics from organisations that represent a cross-section of the financial system. Published daily, articles are short and broken into chunks – the facts, the context and a brief commentary – and use data visualisations to get each story across.
JSCC’s cash securities division chalks up biggest-ever stress breach
Stress loss in excess of initial margin eclipsed default resources by ¥6.8bn in Q2
Risk Benchmarking
At bigger banks, enterprise risk owns scenario frameworks
Risk Benchmarking research finds ERM teams tasked with providing effective challenge on scenario construction across risk silos
Artificial intelligence
Asian dealers may be more exposed than US in AI selloff scenario
Prime brokers face regional counterparty risk from huge flows in leveraged ETFs, say risk managers
As LLMs spread, quants confront ‘lexical risk’
Users are finding the uncertainty in GenAI models is hard to measure
Agentic risk management could arrive ‘sooner than we think’
Risk Live: Models are capable, but banks lack platform and governance to safely run agentic systems
What happens when AI gets good at your risk management job?
Risk executive Alex Golbin asks how to build a valuable career in risk as agentic AI takes on more analysis
US rates surge sparks new wave of FX net investment hedging
Corporates pile into currency hedges to protect value of foreign assets and capture positive carry
Tokenisation
HSBC’s Orion sees cash leg challenge to tokenised bonds
Tradeweb and others agree more work needed before atomic settlement is achieved
Pioneers split over future of UK’s digitalised market
Tokenisation provider urges industry to stop waiting for magic to make digitally issued securities possible
Ex-Citi banker’s ‘perfect marriage’ with Franklin’s crypto unit
Investment giant throws weight behind Chris Perkins’ plan for investing in digital markets
Tokenisation: a load of old bull for London’s financial markets?
Focusing on tech in context of digital transformation risks repeating 1980s Taurus debacle
Regulators better prepared for next Credit Suisse, says SRB head
FSB strengthening guidance on international co-operation, but EU needs more mutual support
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