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Dollar smiles again, but for how long?
Twitchy investors backed the buck during Iran war, but experts are divided on whether this marks a return of the dollar smile
Vol control indexes rewire for V-shaped rebounds
Dealers aim to fix sluggish performance of indexes that underpin $130 billion-a-year FIA market
Regulators question human-in-the-loop as AI governance tool
Bank of England and Iosco executives suggest it’s more important to retain overall accountability
Wall Street giants rack up VAR breaches
Goldman hit hardest as JP Morgan, BofA and Morgan Stanley also exceed model forecasts in Q1
Esma supervisory switch could become ‘distraction’
Push to transform watchdog might hinder market reforms, say some
For Esma the supervisor, people power will be prime
Industry hopes to avoid people risk during transition, with help from national authorities
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Artificial intelligence
Barclays built a risk framework for GenAI from scratch
Eleven teams contribute to assessing generative AI use cases in a system that includes 35 controls
Banks in Asia turn to integrated third-party risk units
Regional and global firms create centres of excellence bridging first and second lines
MI9: runtime governance for agentic AI systems
A real-time telemetry system for banks to control and authorise for agentic AI actions
AI governance rules coming soon, says CFTC chair
Selig doesn’t want to stifle innovation, but says trading or advice algos will need guardrails
Risk Quantum
Data insights, delivered daily
Risk Quantum tracks thousands of data points across hundreds of metrics from organisations that represent a cross-section of the financial system. Published daily, articles are short and broken into chunks – the facts, the context and a brief commentary – and use data visualisations to get each story across.
Wall Street giants rack up VAR breaches
Goldman hit hardest as JP Morgan, BofA and Morgan Stanley also exceed model forecasts in Q1
Risk Benchmarking
Top 10 op risks: AI upends risk taxonomies
AI risk enters annual poll in fifth, but firms split over treating it as a standalone risk or a cross-cutting driver
Basel III Endgame
Basel III endgame: overall relief hides winners and losers
G-Sibs gain from surcharge reform while AOCI hits regional banks
EU weighs response to US dropping Basel capital floors
European regulators assessing whether US proposal amounts to a “substantial” deviation
European Commission plans permanent changes to FRTB
EU legislator will start work on new rules later this year to ensure level playing field with US
Banks fear US cross-product capital relief will fall short
Proposal to treat repo as futures for SA-CCR may not do enough to support UST clearing mandate
Crypto’s missing CROs
More than two-thirds of top crypto exchanges lack a chief risk officer, although the picture is changing
Credit risk
UK rethinking tougher capital rules for US bank subsidiaries
US endgame draft would trigger UK Basel III trap floor for foreign banks, but PRA is reviewing
Change fatigue could dim EBA’s credit risk simplicity drive
Revisions may be kept to a minimum as short-term implementation burden weighs on banks
FSB warns of ‘circles of risks’ in bank risk transfer deals
Credit lines, portfolio financing and NAV facilities for private credit funds could rebound on banks
In simplifying credit risk models, EBA could compound capital costs
Skipping hard yards of internal ratings-based approach might trip higher capital charges and implementation costs
UK insurers turn up leverage on structured gilt trades
Par-par asset swaps give way to higher-leverage structures as funding costs increase
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