Original research
Local volatility models in commodity markets and online calibration
This paper introduces a local volatility model for the valuation of options on commodity futures by using European vanilla option prices.
Asset price bubbles and the quantification of credit risk capital with sensitivity analysis, empirical implementation and an application to stress testing
This paper presents an analysis of the impact of asset price bubbles on standard credit risk measures.
Estimating the tail shape parameter from option prices
In this paper, the author proposes a method to estimate the tail shape parameter of the risk-neutral density.
Inefficiency and bias of modified value-at-risk and expected shortfall
This paper compares mVaR and mES estimators with VaR and ES under normal and fat tailed t-distributions.
Comparing multivariate volatility forecasts by direct and indirect approaches
This paper investigates direct and indirect volatility evaluations in the multivariate framework by means of a Monte Carlo simulation
Risk management for private equity funds
This paper aims to fill a gap in the literature by developing the first comprehensive risk management framework for private equity fund investments.
Managing market liquidity risk in central counterparties
This paper discusses the different approaches to incorporating market liquidity risk within a CCP’s default waterfall and the challenges that these approaches pose.
Initial margin model sensitivity analysis and volatility estimation
This paper presents a new approach to parameter selection based on the statistical properties of the worst loss over a margin period of risk estimated by the margin model under scrutiny.
Performance testing of margin models using time series similarity
This paper proposes a performance test based on empirical similarity that would account for margin shortfall, procyclicality and efficiency in a single score.
Initial margin estimations for credit default swap portfolios
This paper presents a clearinghouse framework to establish initial margin requirements for portfolios of credit default swap instruments.
Cleared margin setting at selected central counterparties
In this paper, the authors address one aspect of CCP risk management: initial margining practices. The paper provides a historical review of margining at selected CCPs as well as an overview of their current margin policies.
Networks and lending conditions: empirical evidence from the Swiss franc money markets
In this paper, the author provides an empirical analysis of the network characteristics of two interrelated interbank money markets and their effect on overall market conditions.
Causality networks of financial assets
Through financial network analysis, this paper ascertains the existence of important causal behavior between certain financial assets, as inferred from eight different causality methods.
Visibility graph combined with information theory: an estimator of stock market efficiency
In this paper, the authors use information theory quantifiers to analyze the graphs generated by the VG method as applied to the return rate time series of stock markets from different countries.
Adapting the Basel II advanced internal-ratings-based models for International Financial Reporting Standard 9
This paper examines how we may use A-IRB models in the estimation of expected credit losses for IFRS 9 purposes.
Primary-firm-driven portfolio loss
This paper describes a simple model that can be used for risk management.
Portfolio credit risk model with extremal dependence of defaults and random recovery
This paper proposes a portfolio credit risk model with random recovery rates.
Statistical testing of DeMark technical indicators on commodity futures
This paper examines the performance of three DeMark indicators over twenty-one commodity futures markets and ten years of daily data.
Correctness of backtest engines
In this paper, the authors provide tools to test the correctness of backtest engines for setups with at most one entry and one exit.
Black–Litterman, exotic beta and varying efficient portfolios: an integrated approach
This paper brings Black–Litterman optimization, exotic betas and varying starting portfolios together into one complete, symbiotic framework.
Agnostic risk parity: taming known and unknown unknowns
This paper offers a new perspective on portfolio allocation, which avoids any explicit optimization and instead takes the point of view of symmetry.
Optimal management of green certificates in the Swedish–Norwegian market
This paper proposes and investigates a valuation model for the income of selling tradeable green certificates in the Swedish–Norwegian market, formulated as a singular stochastic control problem.
A note on the statistical robustness of risk measures
This paper focuses on the parametric estimators of risk measures and uses Hampel’s infinitesimal approach to derive the robustness properties.
Modeling superior predictors for crude oil prices
This paper provides an analysis of a broad spectrum of fundamental and nonfundamental indicators for crude oil prices.