Technical paper/Basel II

Shortfall: a tail of two parts

Richard Martin and Dirk Tasche show that the expected shortfall, when used in the conditional independence framework, has an elegant decomposition into systematic (risk-factor-driven) and unsystematic parts. The theory is compared and contrasted with the…

Low-default portfolios without simulation

Low-default portfolios are a key Basel II implementation challenge, and various statistical techniques have been proposed for use in PD estimation for such portfolios. To produce estimates using these techniques, typically Monte Carlo simulation is…

A Merton approach to transfer risk

Transfer risk is the risk that debtors in a country are unable to ensure timely payments of foreign currency debt service due to transfer or exchange restrictions, or a general lack of foreign currency. Although this risk is not extensively addressed in…

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