Value-at-risk (VAR)

Looking forward to back testing

With increasing challenges to measure value-at-risk and meet high regulatory requirements, the focus has turned to back testing as a way of assuring models' adequacy. Carsten S Wehn proposes a new regime of back testing, combining state-of-the-art…

A VAR, VAR better thing?

Banks reported a surge in the number of value-at-risk exceptions during the third quarter of last year following extreme turbulence in the financial markets. Are risk models breaking down? What are banks doing to fine-tune risk management practices and…

VAR counts

Rising defaults in the US subprime mortgage market, plunging prices in the credit sector and a sharp squeeze in liquidity all contributed to make the third quarter very difficult for banks. Risk compares the value-at-risk figures of the major banks in…

Where the buck stops

Risk management units alone cannot avoid the damage from periodic bouts of irrational exuberance. That responsibility lies with the chief executive, argues David Rowe

VAR exceptions reflect volatile season

Investment banks reported increased numbers of high trading losses in the third quarter of this year, highlighting the volatility in the financial markets and casting doubt on their risk modelling.

Standing on the threshold

A 'one distribution fits all' approach is not the best option for op risk models. Carsten Steinhoff and Rainer Baule explain why a tailor-made model is therefore vital to the accuracy of loss distribution models

Cracking VAR with kernels

Value-at-risk analysis has become a key measure of portfolio risk in recent years, but how can we calculate the contribution of some portfolio component? Eduardo Epperlein and Alan Smillie show how kernel estimators can be used to provide a fast,…

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