Backtesting
Hedge backtesting for model validation
Hedge backtesting for model validation
Applied risk management series: Optimising commodity hedging programmes
The design and optimisation of a successful commodity hedging programme requires solid backtesting that meets the needs of different business functions. Using a recent case study, Carlos Blanco and Tamir Druz show how various tests can complement and…
Cutting Edge: Measuring the risk of Financial Transmission Rights
In this month’s article, Ning Zhang proposes a semi-parametric approach to calculate the risk of FTRs/TCCs portfolios whose risk is hard to capture by using standard VaR methods. The major specialties of FTRs/TCCs – such as non-normality and seasonality …
Valid Assumptions Required: an analysis of VaR for energy markets
In this 10-part series, Brett Humphreys takes a fresh look at the widely used risk measure value-at-risk (VaR), urging risk managers to be more aware of the many assumptions that go into the calculation to produce the VaR number.
Dow Jones launches Islamic index for sharia ETF
Dow Jones has launched a new Islamic index, which has been simultaneously licensed to an exchange-traded fund (ETF) provider in the US. The Dow Jones Islamic Market International Titans 100 Index will track 100 companies outside the US which have passed…
Victory at last
The seismic movements in the financial markets last year confounded even the experts, as correlation took down every asset class and unwitting trader going. Victor Sperandeo, better known as Trader Vic, talks exclusively on the back of his latest index…
Valid Assumptions Required: backtesting
Given the large number of assumptions made in calculating a value-at-risk, how can we have confidence in the quality of the resulting calculation? Brett Humphreys looks at using backtesting to evaluate quality.
The year of living riskily
VAR Survey
Looking forward to back testing
With increasing challenges to measure value-at-risk and meet high regulatory requirements, the focus has turned to back testing as a way of assuring models' adequacy. Carsten S Wehn proposes a new regime of back testing, combining state-of-the-art…