Regulators
US banks’ corporate default indicators worsened in Q2
Median probability of default increases 38bp to 1.7% on the quarter
Systemic US banks’ leverage exposures shrank $1.4tn in Q2
On-balance sheet exposures fall on Fed relief
FCM client margin ebbed from record highs over Q2
Goldman Sachs was the only FCM to increase swaps margin significantly
Citi, Goldman, had most winning trading days of top banks in Q2
In aggregate, US G-Sibs racked up 314 profit-making days over the quarter
Internal stress tests of EU banks not up to scratch – ECB
Only one in 10 banks’ internal tests are tougher than supervisor-run programmes
EU banks’ Q1 credit risk estimates show little Covid effect
Probability of defaults for retail exposures edged up only slightly quarter-on-quarter
Corporate, SME loans to take brunt of Covid shock, say EU banks
Though credit outlook has darkened, banks expect to increase lending overall
Covid hammered CEE banks’ capital ratios
One-quarter of EU banks have CET1 ratios below 13%
Coronavirus shock to hit diversified lenders hardest – ECB
Diversified and wholesale lenders projected to see CET1 ratio decline 7 percentage points under worst-case scenario
Severe Covid recession could topple some EU banks
One-quarter of lenders would see CET1 ratios fall below 6.8%
Mark-to-model assets spiked at eurozone banks in Q1
Level 3 derivatives assets increased 52% quarter-on-quarter
Global banks’ derivatives assets hit $4.4tn in Q1
Market values leapt 43% over the first three months of the year
One-quarter of Libor FRNs to mature after benchmark’s death
One-third of outstanding notes issued out of non-Libor countries
Lawmakers have to sort ‘tough legacy’ Libor products – survey
Challenges agreeing contract amendments and lack of term rates for the risk-free alternatives are also barriers to transition
At top US banks, stress test capital hit driven by dividends
Shareholder giveaways make up bulk of post-stress capital losses at JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America
Foreign banks and Fed at odds on stress test impacts
HSBC North America predicted a loan-loss rate of 2.7%, well below the Fed’s 6% estimate
US banks lowball loan pain, overstate trading hit in Fed tests
In aggregate, systemic lenders underestimated loan-loss provisions by 18%
Discover, Capital One loans ravaged by Fed stress test
Credit card losses especially pronounced among regional US lenders
Fed’s Covid scenarios far harsher than latest stress tests
Under worst-case, 25% of banks would have post-stress CET1 ratios of less than 4.8%
Goldman faces high stress capital buffer after Fed tests
Bank projects 640bp peak-to-trough capital hit in DFAST
Giant US banks outgrew smaller rivals in Q1
Banks over $10 billion in size also saw Tier 1 leverage ratios fall furthest
Prudential filters crimp some banks’ own funds, boost others
Two banks saw CET1 climb more than 5% at end-2019 through the EU’s valuation adjustments
Niche EU lenders loaded with loans to peripheral eurozone
Top European banks have limited exposures to Greece, Cyprus, Spain, Portugal and Italy
EU bank credit models neglect peripheral countries
A majority of non-core EU exposures are under the standardised approach