Technical paper/Correlation
Pricing and hedging basket credit derivatives in the Gaussian copula
The static assumptions of the Gaussian copula model have long presented an obstacle to dynamic hedging of credit portfolio tranches. Here, Jean-David Fermanian and Olivier Vigneron combine the copula with a spread diffusion to derive hedging error as…
Factor models for credit correlation
Stewart Inglis, Alex Lipton and Artur Sepp present an extension of the static factor model for pricing credit correlation products introduced by Lipton (2006) and detailed in Inglis & Lipton (2007)
Explaining the Levy base correlation smile
Joao Garcia and Serge Goossens look at base expected loss at maturity both in the Gaussian copula and Levy-based models, and link it to base correlation in these frameworks. They report on the existence of smile in both base correlation curves and…
Factor models for credit correlation
Stewart Inglis and Alex Lipton describe dynamic and static factor models for credit correlation, and show how the static model can be calibrated to the market and used for the pricing of standard and bespoke tranches, including tranchelets
Factor models for credit correlation
Stewart Inglis and Alex Lipton describe dynamic and static factor models for credit correlation, and show how the static model can be calibrated to the market and used for the pricing of standard and bespoke tranches including tranchelets
Understanding variations in the risk of multi-strategy portfolios
Investors spend a great deal of time and effort setting a thoughtful risk budget for their portfolio,only to see all too frequently that the targeted risk will be missed by a wide margin when theinvestment process gets started. In this article, Gang…
Estimating default correlations using a reduced-form model
Credit risk : Cuttingedge
Correlated defaults: let's go back to the data
Estimates of asset value correlation are a key element of Merton-style credit portfoliomodels. Many practitioners have access to asset value data for a large universe of listedfirms, so estimation is within reach. Alan Pitts describes a statistical…
Correlation stress testing for value-at-risk
The correlation matrix is of vital importance for value-at-risk (VAR) modelsin the financial industry. Risk managers are often interested in stressing a subsetof market factors within large-scale risk systems containing hundreds ofmarket variables…
Correlation evidence
Like ratings, default correlation is an area of fierce industry debate. But any fundamental, long-terminvestor searching for fair value in credit correlation will want to understand what the historical dataactually says.
Correlation evidence
Like ratings, default correlation is an area of fierce industry debate. But any fundamental, long-term investor searching for fair value in credit correlation will want to understand what the historical data actually says. Here, Arnaud de Servigny and…
Pitfalls and alternatives
Correlation
Minimising extremes
Portfolio diversification often breaks down in stressed market environments, but the co-movement of asset prices in a tail risk regime may be modelled using a coefficient of tail dependence. Here, Yannick Malevergne and Didier Sornette show how such…
Globalisation and equity index exposure
Does the global presence of large multinational companies diminish the diversification effect inequity portfolios? Gary Robinson argues that this is indeed the case, and suggests a remedy
Great realisations
Volatility estimation