Systemic risk
Cleared swaps surged among US banks in 2018
Cleared swaps accounted for 49% of notionals at end-2018
Big US banks dropped $24trn of OTC notionals at year-end
Total notionals reported by the eight US G-Sibs stood at $196.3 trillion at end-December
Study floats idea of breaking up CCP services
Proposal includes explicit public backstop for key functions and private provision of other services
US banks slashed G-Sib scores in Q4 2018
Big cuts to derivatives and trading securities push systemic risk scores lower
Fed may delay counterparty limits for foreign banks
Other countries need time to catch up on Basel large exposures rule, Fed official says
Who pays? Who gains? Central counterparty resource provision in the post-Pittsburgh world
In this paper, the authors develop a conceptual framework to examine whether the regulatory changes since the Pittsburgh Summit could be a catalyst for reconsidering the structure of clearing houses.
Small banks in China carry outsized risk – research
Study shows systemic risk of smaller banks snowballs during stress periods
Credit data: falling default risk for China’s banks
Economic data may be relatively gloomy, but default probabilities for lenders fell sharply last year
Deutsche-Commerz merger would birth giant G-Sib
The combined bank would likely attract 2.5% G-Sib surcharge
BrokerTec outage serves as ‘systemic risk’ wake-up call
January 11 shutdown of dominant US Treasury market platform worries participants
Nordic banks shoulder weightiest capital buffers in EU
DNB Bank has 9.10% combined buffer, the largest of stress-tested banks
The centrally cleared interest rate derivatives market: how are clients changing the risk perspective?
This paper analyzes counterparty relationships within both direct (house) and client clearing in the interest rate derivatives market in the European Union.
Systemic risk in the financial system: capital shortfalls under Brexit, the US elections and the Italian referendum
This paper uses SRISK to quantify the estimated capital shortfalls of financial institutions under three relevant stress events that occurred in 2016: Brexit, the Trump election and the Italian referendum.
Cross-border risks drive European G-Sib scores
Basel method shows cross-jurisdictional activity makes up 30.8% of banks’ total G-Sib scores
Custody banks add $1.2trn assets, BNY Mellon overtakes State Street
The combined total hit $93 trillion at end-September
Basel and Fed G-Sib methods pose dual test to US banks
Different emphasis of rival frameworks could frustrate bank efforts to reduce systemic risk
Costs deter clearing clients from using back-up dealers
End-users say using more than one clearing broker doesn't make economic sense
Global banks shrink systemic footprint
The big banks trimmed total leverage exposure by €2.9 trillion (4%) in 2017
RBS, Nordea escape G-Sib cuffs, BPCE joins the club
The once-largest bank in the world is no longer considered a systemic threat
Harmonic distances, centralities and systemic stability in heterogeneous interbank networks
This paper investigates the effects of contagion in interbank-lending networks, with a special focus on the theoretical grounding of centrality measures.
CFTC finds harmony harder than it sounds
James Schwartz and Chrys Carey, of counsels at Morrison & Foerster, explore the impact of a recent Commodity Futures Trading Commission white paper – including how its author’s suggestions would affect cross-jurisdictional application of its regulations …
Driverless insurance: regulating Prudential without the Fed
Scrutiny on largest US insurer should not be laxer than on second-tier US banks, experts warn
Prudential Financial growth at odds with Sifi repeal
US insurer has increased derivatives and repo books; grown total assets