Stress-testing
Benchmarking operational risk stress testing models
This paper outlines several approaches to benchmarking operational loss projections under stressed scenarios using both accounting metrics and historical loss experience.
Mariner’s CRO on avoiding predictable surprises
Buy-side risk survey: relative value specialist builds shocks into investment strategy
Coronavirus shock to hit diversified lenders hardest – ECB
Diversified and wholesale lenders projected to see CET1 ratio decline 7 percentage points under worst-case scenario
Severe Covid recession could topple some EU banks
One-quarter of lenders would see CET1 ratios fall below 6.8%
Pimco’s Mariappa on iterating through the Covid-19 crisis
Buy-side risk survey: bond giant’s risk head is paying closer attention to idiosyncratic risks
Before and after the Covid-19 storm: buy-side risk survey
Wide-ranging survey reveals what worked and what didn’t in March – and what will change as a result
LME distressed at severity of Esma stress tests
Watchdog’s simulated price shocks said to be unprecedented in metals markets
BNY Mellon strengthens capital stack
CET1 capital increased 9% quarter-on-quarter
Concerns roil prop clearing waters in wake of ABN losses
State-backed lender insists few clients have defected – but sharks circle, post-Parplus
At top US banks, stress test capital hit driven by dividends
Shareholder giveaways make up bulk of post-stress capital losses at JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America
US banks want urgent guidance on capital plan updates
Call for Fed to provide Covid scenarios by start of September, not in fourth quarter
How the Fed’s Covid stress test got stuck in the middle
Experts fear CCAR add-on has neither informed investors nor guided capital management
Foreign banks and Fed at odds on stress test impacts
HSBC North America predicted a loan-loss rate of 2.7%, well below the Fed’s 6% estimate
Banks eye post-pandemic shake-up of op risk scenarios
Firms seek better handle on impact of global shocks, and hope to avert regulatory attention
Three systemic US banks face stress capital buffer add-ons
JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley will see minimum requirements increase under new regime
US banks lowball loan pain, overstate trading hit in Fed tests
In aggregate, systemic lenders underestimated loan-loss provisions by 18%
Discover, Capital One loans ravaged by Fed stress test
Credit card losses especially pronounced among regional US lenders
Funds warm to Esma liquidity rules after Covid crisis
Funds are embracing stress-testing, and swing pricing, after “a real liquidity crisis” in March
Fed’s Covid scenarios far harsher than latest stress tests
Under worst-case, 25% of banks would have post-stress CET1 ratios of less than 4.8%
Goldman faces high stress capital buffer after Fed tests
Bank projects 640bp peak-to-trough capital hit in DFAST
Covid shock could topple US insurers’ exotic CLOs
Losses on “atypical” tranches could hit $899 million
Banks braced for mystery coronavirus add-on to CCAR
Uncertainty surrounds scenario design and impact on stress capital buffer, dividends
Don’t let a good crisis go to waste
As supervisory stress tests take a backseat, banks look for new ways to gauge extreme risks
Libor trap lurks in 2021 US stress tests
Using SOFR, borrowing could boom and revenues collapse