Inflation risk
The top 10 investment risks for 2024
New fears include mounting government debt, the rise of AI, a credit crunch and regulatory overkill
Risk.net’s top 10 investment risks for 2023
Geopolitical frictions, sticky inflation and a hard landing are among the hazards cited by investors
Wanted: radical ideas for inflation modelling
Hedge funds echo Mervyn King’s calls for a new approach to inflation modelling post-2022 crisis
Inflation scenarios, pt II: end of the party
Whether inflation rises or falls, crowdsourced scenarios forecast huge range of outcomes
Driving greater value in credit risk and modelling
A forum of industry leaders discusses the challenges facing banks in measuring and mitigating credit risk in the current environment, and strategies to adapt to a more stringent regulatory framework in the future
Prudential CRO: markets haven’t priced in tail risks
Risk USA: distribution of extreme outcomes “has gotten broader and wider”, says Nick Silitch
Inflation scenarios: tail risks loom for US equities
Portfolios could lose more than one-third of their value if inflation stays high, suggests crowdsourced scenario exercise
Inflation swap stampede stirs fears of lopsided market
Soaring demand for inflation hedges leaves dealers struggling to balance exposure
Inflation hedges flat among US funds, while payers surge
Counterparty Radar: Total inflation-receiver positions inched up in Q1, while inflation-paying books leapt 44%
How algos are helping inflation-wary investors
Buy-siders look to machine learning for clues on the effect of rising prices on portfolios
Inflation derivatives house of the year: NatWest Markets
Risk Awards 2021: warehousing capabilities created competitive edge in illiquid CPI market
Inflation derivatives house of the year: HSBC
UK bank takes CPI to new heights, while using guarantees to get big RPI trades over the line
Denmark’s ATP warns of inflation threat to risk parity
Pension fund cuts risk to guard against correlation switchback
Insurers forced to choose between imperfect inflation hedges
Inflation is predicted to rise but hedges against it are getting harder to put in place
Eurex and LCH.Clearnet seek OK for inflation swaps
Regulators focus on default management as CCPs target launch in early 2015
Concerns mount over periodical payment orders
General insurers embrace capital modelling and revised ALM strategies
Eurozone collapse remains top threat for insurance industry – Swiss Re chief economist
Policy mistakes could still kill economic recovery, Insurance Risk Europe conference hears
Insurance Risk North America: Insurers must 'break addiction to policy guarantees' in low-rate environment
Lack of product innovation means not enough products work in the low interest rate environment, panellists complain
Reinsurers urged to expand equities allocation amid 'fixed-income bubble' fears
Flight to fixed income exposing reinsurers to low yields and interest and inflation risks
The periodical problem
The periodical problem