Inflation scenarios, pt II: end of the party
Whether inflation rises or falls, crowdsourced scenarios forecast huge range of outcomes
This article forms part of Risk.net’s series of crowdsourced scenario-generation exercises, and the second to focus on inflation. Click here to download a PDF of the full results.
“In the 1970s, the dilemma for central banks was whether to kill inflation, or have growth with inflation,” observes veteran quant Alexander Denev, founder of inflation boutique Turnleaf Analytics. “They decided to kill inflation and kill growth. That was a conscious policy for a year or more.”
Seven months out from
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@risk.net or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.risk.net/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (point 2.4), printing is limited to a single copy.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (clause 2.4), an Authorised User may only make one copy of the materials for their own personal use. You must also comply with the restrictions in clause 2.5.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
More on Risk management
Dora flood pitches banks against vendors
Firms ask vendors for late addendums sometimes unrelated to resiliency, requiring renegotiation
Quant Finance Master’s Guide 2025
Risk.net’s guide to the world’s leading quant master’s programmes, with the top 25 schools ranked
Regionals built first-line defences pre-CrowdStrike
In-business risk teams vary in size and reporting lines, but outage fears are a constant
Op risk data: Santander in car crash of motor-finance fail
Also: Macquarie fined for fake metals trade flaws, Metro makes AML misses, and Invesco red-faced over greenwashing. Data by ORX News
Public enemy number one: the threat to information security
Nearly half of domestic and regional banks report risk appetite breaches amid heightened sense of insecurity
Credit risk transfer, with a derivatives twist
Dealers angle to revive market that enables them to offload counterparty exposures, freeing up capital
Op Risk Benchmarking 2024: the banks
As threats grow and regulators bore down, focus shifts to the first line
Fed stress-testing operational readiness of discount window
Experts say consultation on improved ops should be accompanied by focus on willingness to borrow
