Foreign exchange
In choppy forex markets, algos buck expectations
Goldman, Nomura and others report increased volumes, although some clients revert to principal quotes
More NDF changes could follow Argentine chaos
Lat Am contracts may be tweaked to avoid repeat of contentious peso freeze
Spot FX could be dragged into Mifid II
EC tells Risk.net it is studying Australian-style approach to regulating currency trading
India preps margin regime as parliament debates netting law
Lawmakers thrash out bill on close-out netting; margin rules likely to follow in H1
For FX dealers, virus brings volumes
Mixed feelings for sell-side traders as Covid-19 spurs wave of speculation and hedging
India exchange to debut rupee derivatives settled in US dollar
Launch of onshore futures and options unlikely to dent offshore volumes, though
Dealers turn to mid-cap and EM deal-contingent trades
Premiums of more than 25% are attractive to banks battling low vol and increasing competition
E-trading takes hold for FX swaps – sort of
Bulk of trades are being executed over screen, but bolder changes have stalled
FX options volumes surged last week amid market panic
USD/JPY options traded volumes highest since at least the start of 2018
At US G-Sibs, rates derivatives notionals the lowest since 2014
Banks cut interest rate swaps notionals by -18% year-on-year
Treasurers turn to AI in bid for sharper forecasting
Wider automation could usher in future of ‘hands-free hedging’, but obstacles lurk in data standards and sharing
Connecting equity and foreign exchange markets through the WM “Fix”: a trading strategy
In this paper, the authors show the connection between equities and foreign exchange markets via this window, they leverage this connection using an algorithmic trading strategy and rank various statistical techniques used to make predictions for trading…
FX options see record volumes as yen goes off-script
Coronavirus outbreak and recession fears trigger frenzied trading in USD/JPY options
Who killed FX volatility?
Beyond central bank policy, traders see a range of hidden structural factors at work
Ion’s Broadway deal leaves banks in a bind
Barclays and Nomura among banks that had moved from Ion to rival it now controls
Morgan Stanley FX loss leaves ill-feeling, questions in wake
Options traders saw odd quotes by US bank months before losses were publicised
The market generator
A generative neural network is proposed to create synthetic datasets that mantain the statistical properties of the original dataset
At Apple, derivatives notionals top $178bn
Credit loss amounts rocket on rate and currency fluctuations
Top 10 operational risk losses of 2019
Fraud, embezzlement, tax evasion, subprime (still) and rogue trading – and Citi crops up twice. Data by ORX News
Review of 2019: shaken, not stirred
The market survived a cocktail of hits. But is a hangover on the way?
Smarter trading in a fragmented world
FX Week recently hosted a webinar in partnership with Refinitiv to ask foreign exchange industry leaders to discuss geopolitical challenges, market changes and developments, and evolving technologies, and how they have shaped forex markets in Asia
Initial margin – A regulatory bottleneck
With the recent announcement of an extended preparation period for those smaller entities needing to post initial margin under the uncleared margin rules, the new timetable could cause a bottleneck for firms busy repapering derivatives contracts linked…
Will uncleared margin rules change the FX landscape?
As the next phases of uncleared margin rules come into force, there will be an economic driver for more clearing of FX. By Phil Hermon, Executive Director of FX Products at CME Group