China
During Trump turbulence, value-at-risk may go pop
Trading risk models have been trained in quiet markets, and volatility is now looming
Post-UBS takeover, Switzerland sees biggest regional G-Sib score spike
Credit Suisse acquisition pushes UBS’s complexity category to all-time high, driving up country’s overall score
China’s snowballs hit by new regulatory clampdown
Restrictions on structured note issuance by securities houses blocks key distribution channel
Crédit Agricole headed for 1.5% G-Sib surcharge in 2026
French bank’s surging G-Sib score puts it past Deutsche in latest systemic risk assessment
ABC’s market RWAs soar amid Basel III shake-up
Chinese bank bucks trend with sharp market risk rise in Q3
Shanghai Clearing House urged to take bond collateral for FX trades
Dealers complain that feeble interest rate paid on cash margin raises cost of clearing
HSBC’s China CRE provisions surge to cover one-fourth of book
Additional reserves and reduced exposure elevate ECL coverage for mainland portfolio
CGB steepener trade gains traction amid PBoC actions
Stimulus measures and warnings on long-dated yields have seen basis more than double since March
Rates movements boost FX net investment hedging
Changing differentials bring more positive carry opportunities for corporates
Popular CNY carry trade starts to lose traction
Investors seek unwinds of China govvies swapped into USD after FX and rates movements dent its appeal
China stimulus creates hedging headaches for HK warrants
Dealers say options liquidity issues during Hang Seng’s rollercoaster ride made the products tricky to risk manage and price
Low FX vol regime fuels exotics expansion
Interest is growing in the products as a way to squeeze juice out of a flat market
Nine jurisdictions yet to finalise Basel III rules
Turkey and South Africa worst laggards, with no final drafts published
Chinese G-Sibs load up on non-core capital ahead of TLAC introduction
Agricultural Bank of China boosts AT1 capital, while Bank of China drives Tier 2 growth
LCH set to take CGBs as collateral
Asia Risk Congress: US dollar and euro CGBs confirmed for next year while CNY versions remain a goal
China set to extend NDF trading scheme for onshore banks
CFETS expected to introduce RFQ functionality and more currencies for non-deliverable forwards
Futures exchanges seek clarity on China licensing regime
Hazy details on landmark Futures and Derivatives Law breeds legal uncertainty, unnerving operators
Dealers bruised by surprise renminbi vol surge
Rush to re-hedge USD/CNH exotics left banks in grip of painful short gamma squeeze
On geopolitical risk, G-Sibs choose their battles
Conflicts – both existing and threatened – raise concern among banks, but many are still grappling to weave the risk into their frameworks
Sovereign ‘greenium’ differs more than you might think
Term structure data shows wide variation in yields for green sovereign debt, argues economist
Non-deliverable CNY swaps defy doubters
Swap Connect’s launch has helped rather than hindered the instrument, say dealers