PNC Bank
At US banks, share of HTM securities ticks up in Q1
Despite liquidity squeeze, regional banks increased proportion to a six-year high
FHLB advances hit record $1trn as banks scramble for funding
Schwab, Truist and First Republic heaviest users of Federal facility in Q1
Synchrony and Discover lead US banks on rising net charge-offs
Executives expect trend to continue as credit normalisation proceeds apace
US banks report negative NII growth amid rising rates
Goldman, KeyCorp and Charles Schwab worst hit in Q1 as funding costs sap income growth
As PNC bleeds non-interest deposits, US Bancorp picks up more
Divergence in savings mix follows March’s deposit flight
As rates rose, KeyBank unwound 94% of pay-fixed swaps
Sale of AFS hedges left book exposed throughout late 2022, much as at ill-fated SVB
For 11 US regionals, capital adequacy hinges on AOCI waiver
A repeal of the 2019 provision would hit KeyCorp and Charles Schwab the most
Five regional banks predict lower income from higher rates
IRRBB simulations show lending revenue shrinking as Fed policy gets tighter
US banks vulnerable to losses if HTM securities need to be sold
Overall mark-to-market value $300bn lower than amortised cost across 30 banks
HTM securities hit $2.5trn at US banks in 2022
BofA, First Foundation and Wells Fargo reported largest share of HTM to total securities behind SVB
US regional banks hold smaller proportion of high quality assets
Share of Level 1 assets at Capital One, Truist, US Bancorp lowest across US banks subject to LCR
At US banks, less than 50% of liquid assets classified as AFS
Goldman Sachs reported smallest proportion relative to HQLAs across US banks subject to LCR
Like SVB, five other US lenders saw negative NII growth in 2022
Ally, Customers, First Foundation, Morgan Stanley and PacWest were pressured by rising rates
US banks’ risk-free exposures keep falling
Assets with 0% risk-weighting lowest proportionally since Q1 2020, replaced by riskier exposures
US banks’ VAR breaches up 2.5x in 2022
‘Hypothetical’ one-day losses exceeded VAR on 55 occasions, as losing trading days prevail
Contrarian Goldman grew fair-value bond book in 2022
Held-to-maturity securities balloon, but bank also adds mark-to-market Treasuries as others curtail them
At US banks, risk-free exposures hit lowest in two years
Just under a third of credit assets carried a 0% risk-weight in Q3
Top US banks set aside $6bn for credit losses in Q3
Quarterly provisions highest in two years
BNY Mellon, Schwab would benefit most from SLR relief
A repeat of the pandemic carve-out would boost average ratio across US banks by 45bp
TLAC rules no sweat for US regionals
Capital One and US Bancorp best placed to fund their balance sheets with long-term debt
PNC, Truist most reliant on tailored LCR requirements
Liquidity ratios would be below regulatory minimum without Fed's cap for regional US banks
Despite bond price crash, Capital One sticks with AFS book
Lender letting AFS book run its course as others seek shelter from interest rate storm
Covid chaos spurs on search for model risk aggregation
Many models failed in pandemic, but analysing them in clusters easier than whole-bank view
Fed ‘tailoring’ led to larger, less capitalised regional US banks
Lenders freed from toughest requirements in 2018 grew balance sheets but saw capital ratios slip