Market risk
Banks’ loan-loss forecasts diverge in BoE climate exercise
Dispersion of estimates for corporate impairments highlights variety of assumptions for modelling climate risk
JP Morgan leads US banks on surging VAR capital charges
Requirements connected to commodity positions jumped 426% in the first quarter
Credit risk capital models hanging by a thread in the US
Industry insiders expect Fed to drop IRB and IMM when adopting Basel III, but market risk models may survive
Nomura switches to lower-confidence VAR model
Internal measure of potential market loss brings bank in line with the likes of JP Morgan and BofA
RBI’s market risk gauges go haywire on Ukraine war fallout
Portfolio reshuffling helps Austrian bank contain RWA impact
BNP Paribas notches three VAR breaches in Q1
Latest count puts bank on cusp of capital penalty
Fortunes of VAR: dealers decry effect of war on risk models
European banks with large Russian derivatives exposures face risk of backtesting exceptions – and higher capital requirements
NatWest’s market RWAs up 8% on higher VAR multiplier
Bank incurred regulatory backtesting exceptions amid heightened market volatility
Market volatility weighs on UBS
Higher VAR and SVAR charges lifted market RWAs by $2.9bn in Q1
US banks anticipate delay to Basel III implementation
New Fed supervision head expected to align schedule with EU and Japan, but time is tight
Deutsche’s SVAR window update adds €2.2bn to RWAs
First-quarter surge comes after four consecutive reductions
China’s top banks slashed market RWAs by $15bn in 2021
Aggregate market RWAs at top five lenders down 17% in year marred by domestic and overseas volatility
Standardised approach extends reach over US banks’ RWAs
Gap between standardised and advanced RWAs at its widest ever for BofA, BNY Mellon, Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo
Isda broadens FRTB carbon trading study to win over sceptics
New study shows risk weights too high for US markets, but data from 2008 still missing
Goldman’s VAR climbs to $98 million in Q1
Commodity and interest rate risk push average VAR to its highest reading since 2020
What drives the convertible bond market?
Dmitry Pugachevsky, director of research at Quantifi, provides an overview of the burgeoning convertible bond market, including approaches to modelling and its outlook in the current inflationary environment
Adapting to the new normal
The current interest rate environment and need to adapt to changing technology and regulatory mandates is keeping insurers on their toes, Nakul Nayyar, head of investment risk at Guardian Life, tells Risk.net
EU banks racked up VAR breaches in 2021
Crédit Agricole and ING Bank hit with higher multipliers after exception count rises
UniCredit cuts market RWAs by 9%
Removal of capital requirements for FX risk sheds standardised RWAs by 68% in three months
Lloyds’ IMA RWAs up 43% in run-up to Ibor switch
VAR multiplier and RNIV charges rose in 2021 on account of transition risk
US unit of Barclays close to a VAR breach in Q4
Largest loss-to-VAR ratio at the firm was highest among 10 US intermediate holding companies
HSBC’s SA market RWAs double on new structural FX rules
Move from Pillar 2 to Pillar 1 for unhedged FX risk adds $6.8bn of RWAs
US watchdog urges banks to uphold cross-border trust
Federal regulators assess financial spillover from Russian offensive as volatility surges and sanctions bite
Barclays’ modelled RWAs jump 71%
SVAR pinned to Covid-19 panic drives latest quarterly increase