Currency Risk in Luxury Goods
Currency Risk in Luxury Goods
Foreword
Introduction
Theory and Practice of Corporate Risk Management
Theory and Practice of Optimal Capital Structure
Introduction to Funding and Capital Structure
How to Obtain a Credit Rating
Refinancing Risk and Optimal Debt Maturity
Optimal Cash Position
Optimal Leverage
Introduction to Interest Rate and Inflation Risks
How to Develop an Interest Rate Risk Management Policy
How to Improve Your Fixed-Floating Mix and Duration
Interest Rates: The Most Efficient Hedging Product
Do You Need Inflation-linked Debt?
Prehedging Interest Rate Risk
Pension Fund Asset and Liability Management
Introduction to Currency Risk
How to Develop Currency Risk Management Policy
Translation or Transaction: Netting Currency Risks
Early Warning Signals
How to Hedge High Carry Currencies
Currency Risk on Covenants
Optimal Currency Composition of Debt 1: Protect Book Value
Optimal Currency Composition of Debt 2: Protect Leverage
Cyclicality of Currencies and Use of Options to Manage Credit Utilisation
Managing the Depegging Risk
Currency Risk in Luxury Goods
Introduction to Credit Risk
Counterparty Risk Methodology
Counterparty Risk Protection
Optimal Deposit Composition
Prehedging Credit Risk
xVA Optimisation
Introduction to M&A-related Risks
Risk Management for M&A
Deal-contingent Hedging
Introduction to Commodity Risk
Managing Commodity-linked Revenues and Currency Risk
Managing Commodity-linked Costs and Currency Risk
Commodity Input and Resulting Currency Risk
Offsetting Carbon Emissions
Introduction to Equity Risk
Hedging Dilution Risk
Hedging Deferred Compensation
Stake-building
The overall luxury market was worth an estimated EUR 1.2 trillion in 2017, a 5% increase on the previous year (see Bain & Company, 2017). This loosely defined industrial sector consists of various segments, including luxury cars, luxury hospitality and luxury personal goods, which together make up about 80% of the overall market. In recent years, growth has largely been driven by an insatiable demand from Asian and other emerging markets, which has introduced currency risks to producers. We will start by describing the common features of the sector and how they impact the currency risk.
The luxury goods sector has certain characteristics:
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high EBITDA margin, generally of the order of 25%, which makes it resilient to small and short-term fluctuations of FX rates;
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high cashflow generation and low net leverage, which means that the credit risk is generally very low; again, this indicates that the negative evolution of currency rates does not endanger a company’s ability to pay its liabilities; and
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high pricing power due to the stickiness of the customers to highly desirable brands.
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These general factors have a direct relevance
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