References
Joaquin Narro and Monica Caamano
References
Introduction
The Energy Supply and Demand Conundrum
A Brief History of Energy Markets
Systematic Trading in Energy Markets
The Trading Edge
Defining Trading Expectations
Exploring Technical Modelling in Idiosyncratic Energy Markets
Exploring Fundamental Modelling
Introducing Cycle Analysis and Monte Carlo Simulations
Data: Boundaries and Assumptions
Estimating Model Lifetime
Optimising Performance and Risk
Pitfalls in Systematic Model Development
Model Production
Portfolio Construction
Incorporating Human Behaviour
References
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Bessec, M. and O. Bouabdallah, 2005, “What Causes the Forecasting Failure of Markov-switching Models? A Monte Carlo Study”, Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, 9(2), Article 6.
BOE, 2014(a), “Boletín Oficial del Estado”, 77, March 29.
BOE, 2014(b), “Boletín Oficial del Estado”, 140, June 10.
Borenstein, S. and J. Bushnell, 2015, “The U.S. Electricity Industry after 20 Years of Restructuring”, Annual Review of Economics, 7, pp 437-–63.
Borsa Istanbul, 2019, “Base-Load Electricity Futures”.
BP, 2019, “BP Energy Outlook 2019 Edition”.
Castillo, E., 1988, Extreme Value Theory in Engineering. (Boston, MA: Academic Press).
Central Electricity Authority (CEA), 2019, “Installed Capacity”, Government of India, Ministry of Power.
Chicago Daily Tribune (CDT), 1959, “Ship Carrying Liquid Gas on 1st Voyage to England”, February 2, p 4.
Chevalier, J. and F. Ielpo, 2013, The Economics of Commodity
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