Credit risk models alone do not capture sovereign risk – Nicholas Spiro profile

Sovereign risk analysis needs to combine model-driven research with qualitative indicators, says Nicholas Spiro, founder of Spiro Sovereign Strategy

nicholas-spiro
Nicholas Spiro, Spiro Sovereign Strategy

Ever since the financial crisis bred Europe’s sovereign debt crisis, investors and economists have been training their eyes on sovereign risk across the eurozone, thus departing from the long-held view that political risk was an issue solely for emerging markets, not developed ones.

Nicholas Spiro, managing director of Spiro Sovereign Strategy, believes not only that this shift was long overdue, but that one needs to consider a country’s own economic personality as well as simply look at the

Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.

To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@risk.net or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.risk.net/subscribe

You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.

Sorry, our subscription options are not loading right now

Please try again later. Get in touch with our customer services team if this issue persists.

New to Risk.net? View our subscription options

Credit risk & modelling – Special report 2021

This Risk special report provides an insight on the challenges facing banks in measuring and mitigating credit risk in the current environment, and the strategies they are deploying to adapt to a more stringent regulatory approach.

The wild world of credit models

The Covid-19 pandemic has induced a kind of schizophrenia in loan-loss models. When the pandemic hit, banks overprovisioned for credit losses on the assumption that the economy would head south. But when government stimulus packages put wads of cash in…

Most read articles loading...

You need to sign in to use this feature. If you don’t have a Risk.net account, please register for a trial.

Sign in
You are currently on corporate access.

To use this feature you will need an individual account. If you have one already please sign in.

Sign in.

Alternatively you can request an individual account here