

Ukraine nuclear scenarios: black enough for you?
A nuclear strike on Ukraine would open the door to the pit; our readers guessed how markets would fare, with surprising results
This article is part of Risk.net’s series of crowdsourced scenario-generation exercises. Click here to download a pdf of the full results.
Earlier editions of Risk.net’s scenario exercises have surprised participants with the severity of some of the possible outcomes. In our latest – and bleakest – scenario, the surprise for some is that the computed outcomes are so mild.
More than 50 readers joined the exercise, offering their take on stock index levels, oil prices and bond yields in the
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@risk.net or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.risk.net/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (point 2.4), printing is limited to a single copy.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (clause 2.4), an Authorised User may only make one copy of the materials for their own personal use. You must also comply with the restrictions in clause 2.5.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
More on Risk management
AI in capital markets: credit risk landscape
The first part of a discussion series exploring the dynamic landscape of predictive and generative AI
AI in capital markets: automation use cases
Part two of a three-part discussion series exploring the dynamic landscape of predictive and generative AI
AI in capital markets: model development and data
Part three of a three-part discussion series exploring the dynamic landscape of predictive and generative AI
Market knee-jerks keep VAR models on their toes
With a return to volatility, increased backtesting exceptions show banks’ algos are stretched
Why the survival of internal models is vital for financial stability
Risk quants say stampede to standardised approaches heightens herding and systemic risks
Clearing members welcome LME default fund cap
But 2022 nickel crisis still makes hedge funds doubt banks would foot the bill for default at all
Shaking things up: geopolitics and the euro credit risk measure
Gravitational model offers novel way of assessing national and regional risks in new world order
Crypto custody a bit(coin) closer after US accounting U-turn
Federal banking supervisors expected to eventually relax regimes for safeguarding digital assets