CVA models may miss half of true default risk
Benefits of initial margin also overstated, new research finds
Conventional means of calculating credit risk in an over-the-counter derivatives trade can understate the true exposure by up to half, new research has found – a consequence of simplifying assumptions about the way a default works.
The researchers also cast doubt on the effectiveness of initial margin for derivatives trades, saying it will provide less protection than desired – that is, reducing overall exposure by only a factor of 10, rather than the expected factor of 120. They argue the
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@risk.net or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.risk.net/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (point 2.4), printing is limited to a single copy.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (clause 2.4), an Authorised User may only make one copy of the materials for their own personal use. You must also comply with the restrictions in clause 2.5.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
More on Risk management
EU firms fear dollar liquidity becoming tariff bargaining chip
Eurozone banks rely on dollars for 17% of funding; trade war escalation could affect access
Op risk data: Luna crypto chicanery shrinks Galaxy coffers
Also: Down under and dirty – motor finance scandal comes to Oz, and 2024 in review. Data by ORX News
Amid tariff turmoil, banks warned not to fudge IFRS 9 overlays
Flip-flopping US policies challenge loan loss provisioning models; EU regulators take watching brief
Why AI will never predict financial markets
Laws that govern swings in asset prices are beyond statistical grasp of machine learning technology, argues academic Daniel Bloch
Caramanli quits Ion, destination unknown
Current markets head Oliviero is said to have replaced outgoing chief product officer
Treasury selloff challenges back-office systems, data feeds
FIS and Trading Technologies suffered downtime during peak activity
Market whipsaw spurs calls to rethink buy-side stress-testing
Risk Live Boston: Morgan Stanley and BlackRock urge rethink of scenario assumptions and top-down factor models
Top 10 op risks: AI arms race leaves risk teams playing catch-up
As firms invest for fear of being left behind, op risk managers urge caution on data, controls and access
