2012: another year of living dangerously
It is always possible to envisage threats to economic and political stability, but the next 12 months look likely to harbour many unhappy surprises, says David Rowe
Having started my career as a would-be economic forecaster just six weeks before the first successful Arab oil embargo in October 1973, I have seen a good deal of political and economic upheaval over the years. Never before, however, have I felt a time to be fraught with as many fundamental uncertainties as we face today. A whistle-stop tour of the globe will illustrate my point.
In the Middle East we have the uncertainty unleashed by the Arab Spring – the latest chapter in the longer-running
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@risk.net or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.risk.net/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (point 2.4), printing is limited to a single copy.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (clause 2.4), an Authorised User may only make one copy of the materials for their own personal use. You must also comply with the restrictions in clause 2.5.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
More on Risk management
Evalueserve tames GenAI to boost client’s cyber underwriting
Firm’s insurance client adopts machine learning to interrogate risk posed by hackers
Wait in the Q: US banks hold back on tariff-related provisions
Lack of data on supply chain vulnerabilities creates challenges for early CECL adjustments
Rising systemic risk demands a new risk management paradigm
Reinsurers need insurance-linked securities to share burden of climate-related catastrophic risk
ECB removes need for governing council to approve CCP facility
New “automatic” facility will require safeguards that are “still being implemented”, bank says
Dodging a steamroller: how the basis trade survived the tariff tantrum
Higher margins, rising yields and stable repo funding helped avert another disruptive blow-up
BoE plans to link system-wide and individual stress tests
Meanwhile, ECB wants to broaden system-wide stress models to include central counterparties
Cyber insurance costs expected to rise as loss ratios worsen
Recent ransomware and tech failure events could feed through into higher premiums this year
The WWR in the tail: a Monte Carlo framework for CCR stress testing
A methodology to compute stressed exposures based on a Gaussian copula and mixture distributions is introduced
