Quant Congress: Don't confuse models with reality, says Derman
Models were not responsible for the financial crisis, but those using them need to remember the shortcomings of models in general, asserted Emanuel Derman, head of risk at Prisma Capital Management and professor at Columbia University, at Risk 's Quant Congress USA conference in New York today.
Heavy criticism has been heaped on financial modelling since the beginning of the financial crisis. The Gaussian copula has been lambasted for underestimating credit tails, for instance, while the merits of using value-at-risk measures for bank risk management have also been called into question.
But the financial crisis was not purely the fault of models, said Derman. Models were ubiquitous in everyday life, he noted - right down to the simple calculation of how quickly it might take to travel
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