Risk–Reward Evaluation of Mitigation and Control Effectiveness
Rafael Cavestany and Javier Martinez Moguerza
Introduction
Collection of Operational Loss Data: ILD and ED
Scenario Analysis Framework and BEICFs Integration
Loss Data Modelling: ILD and ED
Scenario Analysis Modelling
BEICFs Modelling and Integration into the Capital Model
Hybrid Model Construction: Integration of ILD, ED and SA
Derivation of the Joint Distribution and Capitalisation of Operational Risk
Backtesting, Stress Testing and Sensitivity Analysis
Evolving from a Plain Vanilla to a State-of-the-Art Model
Strategic and Operational Business Planning and Monitoring
Risk–Reward Evaluation of Mitigation and Control Effectiveness
In Chapter 11, we introduced the integration of the operational risk profile into the business plan and the monitoring of the plan execution using an operational risk appetite framework. Here, we examine examples of the evaluation of controls and mitigation plans that have an impact on the risk profile, which can be used for measuring the consumption of, and/or adjusting the risk limits defined by, the ORA framework.
The impact of the mitigation and controls on the risk levels, ORA, limits and so on should be evaluated, as they change the risk profile of the institution, which is measured by the operational risk capital model. Far too often, the operational risk analysis is single-sided, evaluating only the threats and potential losses. In this chapter we examine various examples of joint analysis of the risk impacts and the benefits of their mitigation.
The chapter is structured into the following sections, describing the risk–reward evaluation of the mitigation actions that can be included in an operational risk business plan:
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“Insurance programmes: evaluation of their mitigation impact”;
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“Risk–reward evaluation of the mitigation impact of action plans”;
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