Inflation-Linked Markets
Gang Hu and Stefania Perrucci
Inflation-Linked Markets
Foreword
Inflation-Sensitive Assets
Investable Commodity Indexes and Inflation: A Brief History
Commodities, Inflation and Growth: Implications for Policy and Investments
Inflation and Real Estate Investments
Infrastructure Assets and Inflation
Equity Investments and Inflation
Inflation-Linked Markets
Understanding and Trading Inflation Swaps and Options
The Role of Models in Modern Monetary Policy
Term Structure of Interest Rates and Expected Inflation
Monetary Policy, Inflation and Commodity Prices
Inflation and Asset Prices
Inflation and Equity Returns
Inflation Hedging through Asset and Sector Rotation
Practical Models for Inflation Forecasting
Protecting Insurance Portfolios from Inflation
Inflation, Pensions and Liability-Driven Investment Solutions
Ultra-High-Net-Worth Investors and the Real Asset Value Chain
Inflation Markets: A Portfolio Manager’s Perspective
Inflation Indexation and Products in Emerging Markets
Since 1981, when the UK government issued the first inflation-linked bond (linker),11 Obviously, we are referring to the modern inflation-linked market. Historically, the indexation of government debt has deeper roots that can be traced back to bills linked to the price of silver issued by the Massachusetts Bay Colony in 1742. the linker market has established itself as a distinct asset class within the global fixed income universe. With a market notional close to US$2.5 trillion outstanding (Table 7.1), including both developed and emerging countries, this asset class has attracted a variety of market participants, ranging from asset managers, retail investors and pension funds to central banks. In addition to this global bond market, liability-matching programmes in the European Union (EU) and the UK and corporate issuance in the US have planted the seeds for the development of a growing inflation derivatives market, which has quickly gained global acceptance and liquidity.
In this chapter, we focus on inflation-linked bonds and linear inflation derivatives. The first two sections provide a brief recap of the different characteristics of linkers, and give a specific example
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