A Discretionary Approach to Currency Investing
Adnan Akant
A Case for Currency in Institutional Portfolios
The Currency Conundrum: Regret Versus Optimal Hedging
Global Asset Allocation and Optimal US Dollar Hedging
Alternative Currency Hedging Strategies with Known Covariances
Strategic Asset Allocation and Currency Betas
Separating Currency Returns from Asset Returns in Theory and Practice: Conscious Currency and Beyond
Economic Data Surprises and Currency Alpha
Is Trend Following in Foreign Exchange Markets Going Out of Fashion?
The Carry Trade: The Essentials of Theory, Strategy and Risk Management
Carry Trades in Emerging Markets
Investing in Emerging Market Currencies: A Rewarded Risk
The Currency Investing Process: Managing G10 Currencies
Systematic Currency Trading
A Discretionary Approach to Currency Investing
Due Diligence as a Source of Alpha
Currency Forecasting: Generating Views about Foreign Exchange
Exchange Rates, Risk Premia and Inflation-indexed Bond Yields
Currency Investing: A Risk Premium Approach
Currency Management Styles: Ten Years On
The Future of Currency Investing in Institutional Portfolios
Currency investing started in earnest with the introduction of floating exchange rates after the breakdown of the Bretton Woods system in 1973. Although with a history spanning a period of over 40 years, the specialty of currency investing is still relatively new compared to the professional practice of investing in stocks and bonds.
In this chapter, we give a brief history of how Fischer Francis Trees and Watts (FFTW) – an institutional fixed income firm – entered the field of currency investing when it began managing global bond portfolios in the late 1980s. In the next two sections, we discuss the early evolution of FFTW’s currency process in the context of the distinct objectives of risk reduction using passive or dynamic hedging, and return enhancement, where the focus is on pure alpha generation. We then examine evidence (following Pojarliev and Levich, 2008) showing that currency managers, including FFTW, have added value as a group over long periods, and that their excess returns can be explained as consisting of true alpha – generated using a primarily discretionary approach in the case of FFTW – and currency beta factors of trend, carry and value, generated typically
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