EM bounce-back masks fundamental concerns
Confidence in emerging market debt has been restored of late, but are investors ignoring certain warning signs, particularly regarding Russia? Julian Evans reports
On April 12, stronger-than-expected US employment data was released. Many economists and dealers duly predicted the Fed would be forced to raise rates steeply, some suggesting a hike of as much as 3% this year to stave off inflation.
Those expectations hit both emerging markets and high-yield debt hard. In part, traders predicted some emerging markets borrowers were going to have difficulty rolling over debt in a higher interest rate environment. Others blamed the sell-off on hedge funds
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