FX Options Trading Book & Risk Measurement
Foreword
Introduction
A Brief History of the FX Market’s Evolution
Foreign Exchange Markets
Predicting FX Movement
Basic FX Instruments
Trading Floor Dynamics
FX Options: An Intuitive Approach
Famous Formulas, Fame and Fortune
Getting to the Formula and the Correct Probability Distribution
The Greeks – A Practical Approach
Portfolio Management and Second-order Greeks
FX Options Trading Book & Risk Measurement
Hedging FX Risk at Corporations
You Have Options
Situations Gone Mad, From the Most Complex to the Simplest
Speculators and Hedge Funds: How Do Portfolio Managers Make Money?
Speculating and Hedging: The Fundamental Differences
Epilogue
Now that we have talked about the theoretical underpinnings of a portfolio approach to managing an FX options trading book, let’s put it all together and, as you may be used to by now, kick it up a notch to the next level of complexity. The first sections of this chapter will repeat elements of Chapter 9 but from a more practical perspective. We look at a theoretical reaction of a trader who sells an option to a client the day before the French elections, and their subsequent adventure in trying not to lose money. Then we combine those elements with those of Chapter 10, and look at some new concepts by the end of the chapter. Specifically, we begin by reviewing the basics of delta hedging, which you’ve seen in a few different contexts, and then use real-world examples to discuss gamma, vega bucketing, value-at-risk and portfolio stress testing.
DELTA, GAMMA AND VEGA CONSIDERATIONS IN HEDGING THE FRENCH ELECTIONS
Let’s start with an example of historical significance. Suppose that a bank trader just sold an option to a client on the eve of the first round of the 2017 French presidential election. The following figures are actual screens and information a trader would be
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