Considering physical climate risks and resilience in real asset investment

Lucy Carmody and Carlos Sánchez

“BUILDING IN” RESILIENCE TO CLIMATE CHANGE

Climate change makes a fundamentally unknowable future even more uncertain for investors, scientists and policymakers alike. It poses a systemic risk to society, the economy and financial markets and, regardless of global national and corporate commitments to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, we are all certain to experience some degree of climate change over the coming decades that could be slow and challenging to reverse. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the body of the United Nations responsible for advancing knowledge on human-induced climate change, concluded in their Sixth Assessment Report that “many changes due to past and future greenhouse gas emissions are irreversible for centuries to millennia, especially changes in the ocean, ice sheets and global sea level” (IPCC, 2021).

In parallel, investors and bankers globally have become increasingly aware of the financial materiality associated with climate risks that threaten real assets, supply chains and systemic stability. The impacts of these risks can derive from both physical impacts – the chronic and acute effects of climate change – and from

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