Foreword
Mark E Almeida
Foreword
Foreword
Introduction
An Exploration of the Evolution of Risk: Past, Present and Future
Risk Trading, Risky Debt and Financial Stability
Skating on Thinner Ice: A Macroeconomic Outlook at the End of the Credit Cycle
Climate Change: Managing a New Financial Risk
The Quest to Save Risk-Weighted Assets
The Evolution of the CLO Market since the Global Financial Crisis and a Valuation Approach for CLO Tranches
Homo Ex Machina: Finance Rebooted
Innovation and Digitisation in Credit: A Global Perspective
The Lending Revolution: How Digital Credit Is Changing Banks from the Inside
Digital Lending in Asia: Disruption and Continuity
Digitisation and Automation in Commercial Lending: Disruption without Distraction
Credit Risk Management in the Era of Big Data: From Measurement to Insight
Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in Credit Risk Analytics: Present, Past and Future
Integrated Loan Portfolio Modelling and Risk Management
The Role of Banks in Illiquid Credit Markets, and the Disruption and Evolution of Credit Portfolio Management
Epilogue
[W]e meet in an hour of change and challenge, in a decade of hope and fear, in an age of both knowledge and ignorance. The greater our knowledge increases, the greater our ignorance unfolds.
John F. Kennedy, September 1962
After an entire decade, for a generation of finance practitioners the scars of the 2007–9 global financial crisis remain, if not fresh and intensely painful, then surely sore and ever-sensitive to the touch. We have been chastened for the over-confidence in quantitative analytical techniques that gave rise to virtually unrestrained risk taking. The excesses of leverage and CDO-squareds have left financial engineering and innovation in disrepute.
The response to the crisis, prompted by financial regulators worldwide, could be fairly characterised as a “back to basics” approach, with emphasis on more robust, fundamental risk management practices. To illustrate at the risk of over-simplifying: US regulatory focus on the data management practices of large banks was born of the Lehman Brothers failure. Much to the surprise of the New York Federal Reserve Bank (among other supervisors), the largest, most sophisticated US banks could not quickly and accurately
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