Mixed views on return to backwardated oil market
A tightening of the long-running contango in WTI crude oil prices has sparked debate about whether the futures price curve could soon swing into backwardation. Pauline McCallion reports
The long-running contango in futures prices for oil has signified the lack of global demand that pushed oil stocks to record levels throughout 2009. This phenomenon is illustrated by the upward-slopping futures price curve that incentivises traders to store oil, which further accentuates contango.
The spread between the near-month and 12-month contracts narrowed from $7.60 per barrel (bbl) in December to $3.25/bbl in March. By contrast, at the front of the curve, the April/May spread was at $0
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