Crude rally continues as analysts eye $115 oil

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for April delivery surged to over $105/bbl on Thursday as analysts questioned how much longer the rally could continue.

WTI had reached an intra-day high of $105.97 and a low of $99.88 during a volatile day on the New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex), following Wednesday's record closing price of $104.56.

ICE Brent crude for April delivery rose by $1.01 to settle at $102.65 per barrel after reaching $102.95 per barrel on the ICE Futures Europe exchange in London.

Analysts have put the price moves down to a rejection by the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) of calls to increase supply at the cartel's meeting in Vienna Wednesday, while the dollar continues to plunge against the Euro. Geopolitical tensions between Ecuador, Venezuela and Colombia are also weighing on sentiment, following a Columbian raid against Ecuador-based rebels.

Weaker than expected inventory data has also compounded the issue. On Wednesday, U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) data showed a 3.1 million barrel drop in crude stocks, against analysts' forecast for an increase, resutling in an intra-day jump of $5.04 in the WTI contract. Analysts noted that such drawdowns were inviting more speculators into the market.

"While there is little question the market is technically overbought and running well ahead of the fundamentals, trying to gauge the top in this market has so far met with very little success," said MF Global's John Kilduff.

"Unless the dollar can stage a major recovery, fund buying ebbs, geopolitical risks ease or there is a more profound economic slow down threat, the market's trend will likely remain up and an eventual move to the $110 to $115 price range can't be ruled out."

Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.

To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@risk.net or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.risk.net/subscribe

You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.

CTRM systems 2024: market update and vendor landscape

A Chartis report on commodity trading and risk management systems that considers its different applications and addresses the market and vendor dynamics to determine the long-term and structural impacts of the overarching market evolution on the…

Chartis Energy50 2023

The latest iteration of Chartis' Energy50 2023 ranking and report considers the key issues in today’s energy space, and assesses the vendors operating within it

Most read articles loading...

You need to sign in to use this feature. If you don’t have a Risk.net account, please register for a trial.

Sign in
You are currently on corporate access.

To use this feature you will need an individual account. If you have one already please sign in.

Sign in.

Alternatively you can request an individual account here