An Introduction to Behavioural Risk Management
Preface
An Introduction to Behavioural Risk Management
Risk Management Context
Value-at-Risk as the Dominant Risk Management Tool in the Financial Industry
Case Studies on Risk Management Failure
The Role of Regulation in Risk Management
Advances in Behavioural Economics and Finance
Behavioural Issues with Probability
Systems Theory
Using Scenarios
Making Robust Decisions
Advances in the Risk Management Process
Behavioural Risk Management in the Financial Markets
Countervailing Power
Behavioural Risk Management: Closing Thoughts
Appendix: Selective list of Behavioural Biases
Bibliography
Let us start with a crucial question: what is behavioural risk management? Behavioural risk management aims to deal with the behavioural biases of human beings in their assessment of problems, risks, solutions and decisions. It appears that human beings do not act so rational and logical as was once thought, especially when uncertainties are involved and decisions are to be made. Behavioural risk management aims to address this problem and to induce decision-makers to take the right decisions while managing risks.
Risk management as a separate profession can be traced back to the early 1980s, although risk management as an activity has a much longer history. It is fair to say that more explicit frameworks to manage risks, and to label them as such, were developed in the financial industry and then exported into different industries. Therefore, risk management in finance is where traditional economic theories have been applied in great detail, such as portfolio optimisation and option pricing. Hence, these theories and their application are now widely accepted within banking, insurance, pension funds and asset management. One of the key risk management tools is VaR, an
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