Articles by Lorenzo Migliorato
JP Morgan’s VAR limits blown twice during haywire Q1
Breaches add to the two regulatory backtesting exceptions sustained the previous quarter
BNP Paribas’s CVA risk charges swell 56% on Basel III overhaul
Impact of new formulas is largest yet for a G-Sib
Dollar dip erodes AmEx’s overseas hedges by $198m
FX swaps shielding foreign equity stumble as greenback retreats
Basel III switch sends BNP Paribas’s op risk charges up 60%
Blow-up follows shelving of AMA model previously underpinning over two-thirds of op RWAs
Fed’s proposed SCB tweak would free $20bn of capital at US banks
Averaging of stress test-based inputs over two years would reduce current add-ons by up to 60bp
SVAR surges gird Europe’s trading books in H2 2024
UniCredit and UBS lead pack with hottest gauges in half a decade
JP Morgan’s equity and commodity VAR soar to five-year highs
Trading risk gauges jump 150% and 190% amid Q1 trading flurry
US hedge funds post near-record low share of securities collateral
SEC data shows $3.66 trillion tied to posted securities at end-2024, down 10% in three months
Index CDS trading nearly doubles as tariffs spook market
Turnover ebbed in single-name contracts as iTraxx and CDX volumes climbed rapidly last week
US tariffs spur rush to European dividend futures
Turnover hits €3.5bn in three days as traders brace for fallout on corporate balance sheets
US banks held record $78bn in equity collateral before market crash
Stocks made up 11% of dealers’ OTC derivatives collateral at end-2024 – highest ever reported
UniCredit tops Europe’s VAR breach leaderboard in 2024
Swedbank, Commerzbank and SocGen among model users repeatedly blindsided by volatility
FRTB may bite harder for Europe’s CVA modellers
Farther reach of advanced approach and lighter load on total requirements mean limited takeaways from Canada and Japan’s implementation
Rabobank jacks up climate risk overlays to loan provisions
Allowances top-up for chronic extreme weather increases more than sixfold
UBS’s CVA charges spike by 30% under new market risk regime
Proportional impact is higher than at any FRTB adopter so far
Surging gross repo costs highlight US dealers’ divergence on netting
Lack of offsetting in GAAP presentation leads BNY and Northern Trust to report paying double- or triple-digit rates on fed funds, repos
A peek under the hood of Canadian banks’ new CVA machine
Disclosures from the country’s top dealers offer first glimpse of how FRTB reforms can reshape capital gauge for potential losses on derivatives
Basel III spurs €62bn credit RWA reshuffle at Rabobank
Bank switched corporate portfolios from A- to F-IRB on eve of reforms’ January 1 go-live
US dealers’ OTC clearing rates plunge to multi-year lows
Cleared notionals down $24.3trn in Q4 amid year-end compression push
BofA, JPM face 50bp increase in G-Sib surcharge
Surge in systemic indicators puts banks on track for 3.5% and 5% add-ons in 2027
Credit fears drive US banks’ IRC requirements to 2022 highs
JP Morgan, BofA lead with triple-digit surge in Q4
Market knee-jerks keep VAR models on their toes
With a return to volatility, increased backtesting exceptions show banks’ algos are stretched
Norinchukin’s repo retreat brings SFT exposures to four-year low
Japanese bank slashes gross SFT assets 54% in Q4, accelerating pullback from repo market to bolster capital
US dealers tally most VAR breaches since mid-2023
Market turmoil in Q4 blindsides models at systemic and regional banks alike