The Literature on NMD Behavioural Models
Serena di Rienzo
Introduction
Insights on Banks’ Recourse to Behavioural Models from a Focused IRRBB Stress Test
Implementing Regulatory Guidance on IRRBB Behavioural Models: Challenges and Opportunities
The Stakeholders of Interest Rate Risk Behavioural Models
Governance of Behavioural Models
The Nature of IRRBB and Typical Metrics Employed
A Framework for Developing NMD Behavioural Models
The Literature on NMD Behavioural Models
Interest Rate Risk of Non-maturity Bank Accounts: From Marketing to Hedging Strategy
NMDs and IRRBB: A Methodological Proposal for a Behavioural Model
NMD Modelling: A Financial Wealth Allocation Approach
A Benchmark Framework for NMDs: An Application
NMD Behavioural Models Used in Marketing
The Validation of NMD Behavioural Models
The Choice of Maturity Profile in NMD Behavioural Models
Acknowledging the Elephant in the Room: The Mismatch Centre
Prepayment Risk Modelling for ALM, Finance and FTP: A Survival Model
Modelling of Prepayment on Fixed Rate Residential Mortgages: A Logistic Regression Approach
A Simple Approach to Modelling Prepayment Events
Integrating Credit Risk within the ALM Framework
Modelling Committed Credit Lines
Accounting of the Sight Deposit and Hedging
Non-maturity deposits (NMDs) are banking products whose main features are the right of the clients to withdraw their balances without any notice and the possibility of the bank modifying unilaterally the rate paid on the account. From a contractual point of view, therefore, NMDs have no contractual maturity and a time-varying interest rate. Typically, NMDs represent a high fraction of the liabilities of commercial banks since they constitute a cheap funding source; indeed, the rate paid on NMDs is kept low, usually below short-term market rates, as sight deposits can be viewed, at least theoretically, as overnight products.
In practice, NMDs present a certain stickiness that makes them eligible for longer maturity investments. The rationale beyond the investment of deposits on the market is an attempt by the bank to earn a positive margin from the differential between the market and the client rate. In deposit management, the need to stabilise or increase the interest rate margin has to be balanced with the necessity of keeping the liquidity and interest rate risk under control.
To make this clearer, in a situation where there is a positive sloping market interest rate curve
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