Governance of Behavioural Models
Daniel Almehed
Governance of Behavioural Models
Introduction
Insights on Banks’ Recourse to Behavioural Models from a Focused IRRBB Stress Test
Implementing Regulatory Guidance on IRRBB Behavioural Models: Challenges and Opportunities
The Stakeholders of Interest Rate Risk Behavioural Models
Governance of Behavioural Models
The Nature of IRRBB and Typical Metrics Employed
A Framework for Developing NMD Behavioural Models
The Literature on NMD Behavioural Models
Interest Rate Risk of Non-maturity Bank Accounts: From Marketing to Hedging Strategy
NMDs and IRRBB: A Methodological Proposal for a Behavioural Model
NMD Modelling: A Financial Wealth Allocation Approach
A Benchmark Framework for NMDs: An Application
NMD Behavioural Models Used in Marketing
The Validation of NMD Behavioural Models
The Choice of Maturity Profile in NMD Behavioural Models
Acknowledging the Elephant in the Room: The Mismatch Centre
Prepayment Risk Modelling for ALM, Finance and FTP: A Survival Model
Modelling of Prepayment on Fixed Rate Residential Mortgages: A Logistic Regression Approach
A Simple Approach to Modelling Prepayment Events
Integrating Credit Risk within the ALM Framework
Modelling Committed Credit Lines
Accounting of the Sight Deposit and Hedging
Since the global financial crisis, regulations governing behavioural models have been introduced to cover the content of behavioural models, as well as how these models are updated, used and monitored. Behavioural model governance aims to define the processes and relations that allow risk measurement and risk management to work in accordance with regulations and an institution’s own policies and business strategy.
Behavioural models should be governed using the same principles as other types of risk governance within banks. There are, however, certain areas of governance that have behavioural model-specific challenges. The aim of this chapter is to highlight some of these, and provide examples of how they can be addressed. Since most of the regulations are principles-based, there is no one solution suitable for all institutions, and each institution must interpret regulations in the context of its business. Areas of governance that are of importance to behavioural models include model governance of behavioural assumptions, interaction with planning assumptions, maintenance and development responsibilities, responsibilities of business versus IT, as well as data governance.
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