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Emir 3.0 could complicate Eurex launch of repo on Prisma
Clearing house now targets November 2025, but faces hurdle from new model change approval process
Vendor oversight splinters across FMIs
Op Risk Benchmarking: firms grapple with “chaos” of third-party rule changes, amid growing recognition of cyber and resilience threats
CRE non-accruals still rising at Western Alliance and Valley National
Troubled CRE loans rise further in Q1 despite rate cuts and loan modifications
Risk data
Banks seek to advance predictive pricing models
AI and machine learning-based tools could give FX desks the power to forecast currency movements
Hedge funds burned as Hong Kong dollar bets implode
Carry trades and call spreads unwound after Trump tariffs pushed spot to edge of currency peg
European investors ramp up FX hedging as ‘dollar smile’ fades
Analysts at one bank expect average hedge ratios to jump from 39% to 70% within six months
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Tariff turmoil
What drove the Taiwan dollar surge?
Foreign speculators, carry unwinds and central bank inaction fuelled the 10% move, not just life insurers, say traders
After tariff rout, hedge funds revive euro rate steepeners
Dutch pension overhaul drives bets on euro rates curve steepening
Inside the week that shook the US Treasury market
Rates traders on the “scary” moves that almost broke the world’s safest and most liquid investment
Wait in the Q: US banks hold back on tariff-related provisions
Lack of data on supply chain vulnerabilities creates challenges for early CECL adjustments
Novel risk-off CTA strategy passes tariff test
Ai for Alpha’s defensive approach to trend following worked as planned in April turmoil
Dodging a steamroller: how the basis trade survived the tariff tantrum
Higher margins, rising yields and stable repo funding helped avert another disruptive blow-up
Yen rates losses from tariff volatility top $1 billion
Pay fixed, curve flattener and vol steepener positions were hit hard as yields swung wildly
Risk Quantum
Data insights, delivered daily
Risk Quantum tracks thousands of data points across hundreds of metrics from organisations that represent a cross-section of the financial system. Published daily, articles are short and broken into chunks – the facts, the context and a brief commentary – and use data visualisations to get each story across.
CRE non-accruals still rising at Western Alliance and Valley National
Troubled CRE loans rise further in Q1 despite rate cuts and loan modifications
Counterparty Radar
Matchmaking and benchmarking for OTC derivatives
Counterparty Radar is based on position data from around 20,000 US mutual funds and ETFs, rolled up to the manager level – it shows the OTC derivatives they have on their books, and who they traded them with, providing unique insights into an important market segment. More info
Wells Fargo’s FX strategy wins over buy-side clients
Counterparty Radar: Life insurers looked west for liquidity after November’s US presidential election
Regulation
US Basel equivalence questioned as EU patience wears thin
MEPs say unfaithful US implementation of Basel III could trigger review of access to EU markets
BoE plans to link system-wide and individual stress tests
Meanwhile, ECB wants to broaden system-wide stress models to include central counterparties
Repo clearing rule could raise SOFR volatility – OFR analysts
Analysis of 2022 data finds large divergence in tail rates but no change in median
CFTC takes red pen to swaps rules, but don’t call it a rollback
Lawyers and ex-regs say agency is fine-tuning and clarifying regulations, not eliminating them
The end of the world, or an artificial crisis?
Bimodal tariff threat leaves investors grappling with uncertainty
Technology
DeepSeek success spurs banks to consider do-it-yourself AI
Chinese LLM resets price tag for in-house systems – and could also nudge banks towards open-source models
OCC’s security chief on generative AI with guardrails
Clearing house looks to scale technology across risk and data operations – but safety is still the watchword
Inside the company that helped build China’s equity options market
Fintech firm Bachelier Technology on the challenges of creating a trading platform for China’s unique OTC derivatives market
For AI’s magic hammer, every problem becomes a nail
Risk.net survey finds banks embracing a twin-track approach to AI in the front office: productivity tools today; transformation tomorrow
Op risk benchmarking
Our new research service compares op risk practices at financial institutions – from staffing to AI safeguards, key controls to board reporting packs.
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