Inflation
FX books bulge in quant investment field
Carry strategies attract bulk of interest; banks eye growth in volatility, intraday and emerging market replication
‘Brace, brace’: quants say soft landing is unlikely
Investors should prepare for sticky inflation and volatile asset prices as central banks grapple with turning rates cycle
IM requirements for interest rate swaps up $30bn in December
Latest figures from CME, Eurex and LCH show a trend reversal from previous six months
UK inflation swap basis set to widen on green energy push
Hedging of planned wind farms will make bilateral receiver swaps cheaper versus cleared, say traders
Trend following struggles to return to vogue
Macro outlook for trend appears to be favourable, but 2023’s performance flop gives would-be investors pause for thought
Undeterred, hedge funds bet on euro swap steepeners
Expected rate cuts and pension reforms are driving steepener flows, but large pension funds may not be finished hedging at the long end
Emerging lessons from the current credit risk cycle
Experts discuss the challenges of higher inflation and interest rates, the impact on defaults, innovations in credit risk modelling and predictions for 2024
Structured credit: the outlook for 2024
In this webinar produced by Risk.net in association with Numerix, experts discuss the risks, opportunities and outlook for structured credit markets in 2024
Tackling credit risk in turbulent times
Survey reveals Apac CROs’ top credit risk priorities
Mirfendereski joins MUFG as inflation head
Former HSBC inflation chief joins Japanese bank in London after study break
Interest rate and liquidity risk special report 2023
This special report explores the ongoing impact of higher interest rates on bank capital and liquidity, and the steps they are taking to shore up their liquidity risk management practices in the current environment.
BNP Paribas bolsters inflation desk with new hires
French bank takes on two traders, including a European inflation specialist
MassMutual exited inflation hedges in Q2
Counterparty Radar: Closure of $1.5 billion book dealt a blow to BNP Paribas’s dealer ranking
Do all roads lead to multi-scenario Fed stress tests?
This year’s CCAR faced criticism for underweighting the risk of higher-for-longer inflation
Pre-merger, PacWest reported record negative NII growth
Funding costs continue to outpace income growth at majority of US banks
The AOCI elephant in the DFAST room
After March’s banking crisis, Fed stress tests should adopt harsher and wider ranging rate scenarios
DFAST mortgage loss rate doubles 2022 figure
At $6.9bn, JP Morgan would bear brunt of losses, according to Fed projections
Unrealised losses down but not out in latest DFAST
Bank of America would emerge from Fed’s scenario with $22 billion net AOCI gain
Inflationary cloud has silver lining for some quant strategies
Research finds certain factors may perform better than previously realised when prices rise
Barclays retools inflation desk with two senior hires
UK bank raids Deutsche Bank and JP Morgan for new regional heads
Inflation could persist ‘for a very long time’
Risk Live: Buy-side risk managers say stagflation threat remains